Both teams are coming in hot. Boston has scored 4+ goals in four of their last five wins, and Edmonton has put up 4+ in all three of their recent wins, including two games with six. Even in losses, both defenses have been giving up goals.

Over the last 10 games, these teams rank 3rd and 4th in goals scored, are top five in shooting percentage, and top five in high-danger chances created. Boston has also allowed the second-most shots on goal in that span — not ideal for an under.

Both teams have cleared this number in 3 of their last 5, and with Edmonton playing their 4th game in 6 nights, tired legs could lead to more defensive breakdowns. At even money, I like the value on the over.