This has been a disappointing year for Popyrin after peaking and winning a masters 1000 last year. On the other hand, Bublik has had the best year of his life, winning five titles even knocking off Sinner in a match; his level has been insane to say the least. Popyrin is 3-1 in his career vs Bublik, and while I agree with Bublik being the save here, I think the narrative of their years is what has lead to this forgiving spread. Popyrin has a few more days of rest, and I like the value here.