I want to start off by saying: this is the biggest bet of my life and I’m embarrassingly not sharp. I really thought the public and sharps were going to flip the Vandy line to -1 or -1.5 but here we are on game day and it’s UT -3.

Diego Pavia is a DOG! Ever since his New Mexico days, he lives for the big games. Fell short just three points at home last year against the longhorns; I think they’re going up against an even tougher Vanderbilt team and Arch Manning doesn’t have it in him to make the big plays. This season is his last dance, no way the NCAA lets him stick around for another year and deep down he knows it.

This is the defining game of the season for both teams. The only difference is that the Longhorns don’t realize it yet. Pavia has this matchup circled on his calendar and it will be the difference between winning and losing today.

Vandy +3 (-110)