City are second in the Premier League and in great form after beating Liverpool 3-0 and Bournemouth 3-1, showing their attack is dangerous and they can score multiple goals easily. They have dominated Newcastle recently, winning 4-0 in the last meeting, but Newcastle are fighting to avoid relegation so they will play hard at home, making the draw protection valuable just in case it ends 1-1 or 2-2. Last 11 games of Newcastle had over 1.5 goals while last 22 of 24 games there's been over 1.5 goals in City matches. With City's quality and Erling Haaland leading the line, they should score at least once or twice, and even if they don't win comfortably, a 1-1 draw or 2-1 win both cover this bet perfectly, making it a safer option than just backing City to win outright.