Hey everyone, I wanted to share my thoughts on the Mariners vs Blue Jays Game 7 tonight. With the series tied at one game apiece, I'm expecting another high-scoring affair.

The Blue Jays are favored by a small margin, but I think Seattle's potent lineup will give them trouble. The Mariners have been grinding out errors in recent games, and I expect a cleaner defensive showing from them tonight.

My best bet is on the Over 7.5 (-110). Both teams have long-standing trends to go over the number, and we've seen eight or more runs in each of the past five ALCS games. Seattle's travel numbers are also looking good, with a second-ranked wOBA and ISO during the regular season.

I'm also taking a same-game parlay that includes Over 7.5, Shane Bieber Over 4.5 strikeouts, and George Kirby Over 3.5 strikeouts. Bieber has fanned eight across six innings in Game 3 of the ALCS, and I think Kirby will be able to shut down the Blue Jays' offense.

Finally, I'm taking a prop pick on Julio Rodriguez (+450) to hit a home run off Shane Bieber. Rodriguez has homered off Bieber before, and he's been hot at the plate during the postseason with a .233 ISO and three round-trippers.

Overall, I think this game is going to be a high-scoring affair, and I'm looking for value on the Over and some props from Rodriguez.