Hey guys, I've got my two best picks for the Mariners vs Blue Jays home run props in Game 6. Julio Rodriguez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are looking like the top bets to go yard.

First up, we have Julio Rodriguez. He's been on fire lately, homering in two of his last four games. His underlying metrics from the regular season suggest he's always a threat to go deep - he ranked in the 80th percentile or higher in xSLG, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate. And let's be real, Trey Yesavage isn't exactly known for shutting down hitters, especially not one as hot as Rodriguez. Yesavage had a rough Game 2 outing against Seattle, surrendering five runs over just four innings, including three to Rodriguez himself.

Now, I know what you're thinking - can we really rely on these stats? The answer is yes. Rodriguez has been swinging a hot bat recently, and his underlying metrics from the regular season suggest he's always a threat to go deep. He only faced Yesavage twice in that game but produced a whopping .966 xBA and 3.774 xSLG across those two plate appearances.

Next up, we have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The Blue Jays' star is looking like the hottest hitter in the series, boasting a .636 batting average, 1.455 slugging percentage, and 2.169 OPS over his last three games. He's homered in two of those contests and enters Game 6 as the top hitter on both sides. And let's not forget - he has a stellar track record against right-hander Logan Gilbert, who gets the start for Seattle.

Guerrero Jr. also has a high hard-hit rate this season, finishing in the bottom half of the league in average exit velocity and barrel rate. This makes him a prime candidate to go deep against Gilbert's fastball. And with the Blue Jays looking to close out the series, I think Guerrero Jr. is due for another big game.

Both of these picks are looking like strong bets to me, but if I had to choose one, it would be Rodriguez. His underlying metrics from the regular season suggest he's always a threat to go deep, and Yesavage isn't exactly known for shutting down hitters.